THE
MAGIC WATERLILY
There
once was a magic waterlilly. It drifted all alone in a moat, that
completely surrounded an old, medieval castle. Why was the water
plant magical? The waterlilly split up during the night. So after one
night, there were 2 waterlillies, the next morning 4, the day after
that 8 and so on, and so on. After 20 nights half of the moat was
felled with these beautiful flowers. The question is: How long will
it take, before the lillies cover all the water.
Think
about it; the question is crucial to decide, wether you are part of
the problem or part of the solution. When your answer is 40, you
don't understand the consequences of exponential growth. A method
widely used in economy, banking and enterprise. Economy is based on
growth, like the waterlilly is based on growth. Exponential growth,
which means that the moat will be filled with waterlillies the next
morning! An economy based on exponential growth needs disasters and
throwbacks, to start all over again.
But
we reached a limit. Oil for instance is getting scarce. The reserves
are limited, while in the prognoses, we can grow on forever. It means
that the oilcompanies are willing to risk enormous environmental
disasters, to fulfill our short-time needs. Those same companies are
having a huge profit, due to global warming. The North Pole-region
can be exploited and polluted as well. Having no alternative, at
least not one that they know of, citizens are manipulated to accept
an environmental collapse, as a result of our behavior.
Let
me illustrate my point, with a Chinese fairy-tale. The emperor had
promised the inventor of the game of chess, that he would fulfill any
wish. The emperor saw the importance of the invention and the
pr-qualities of his generosity. The inventor seemed a simple man and
the emperor invited him near his throne and asked him to utter his
wish.Slowly formulating the man said, while producing his
chessboard.“I wish me one
grain of wheat on the first quadrant of the board, 2 on the next, 4
on the third ..” His Royal Highness interrupted his guest and said:
“I will fulfill your wish. Come back in a week.”Shortly after the
inventor left the palace, the treasurer of the Emperor came and said,
that the wish could not be fulfilled! After a while, the wheat
designed to a quadrant, would be equal to the production of wheat of
the whole Empire. In total the board had 64 quadrants. The last
amounts would be astronomical.
The
Emperor sat down for a while, after which he ordered the inventor and
his family to be killed. In that way, the belief in the supreme
powers of the Emperor would not be challenged. Machiavelli would have
agreed.
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